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Item Details
| Title:
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THE BLACK SWAN
THE IMPACT OF THE HIGHLY IMPROBABLE |
| By: |
Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Format: |
Paperback |
| List price:
|
£8.99 |
| Our price: |
£6.02 |
| Discount: |
|
| You save:
|
£2.97 |
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| ISBN 10: |
0141034599 |
| ISBN 13: |
9780141034591 |
| Availability: |
Usually dispatched immediately.
 Delivery
rates
|
| Stock: |
Currently
439 items
in stock |
| Publisher: |
PENGUIN BOOKS LTD |
| Pub. date: |
28 February, 2008 |
| Pages: |
400 |
| Description: |
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. |
| Synopsis: |
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. |
| Illustrations: |
Illustrations |
| Publication: |
UK |
| Imprint: |
Penguin Books Ltd |
| Returns: |
Returnable |
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